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When America Sneezes
When America Sneezes
When America Sneezes
Ever since the 1929 Wall Street Crash, it has been common for economists to quip, “When America Sneezes, the rest of the world catches a cold.” The Chinese economy is apparently suffering from long Covid and despite the intention to release it from the grip of lockdown in the wake of protests, fears that China’s sluggish growth will impac
Ever since the 1929 Wall Street Crash, it has been common for economists to quip, “When America Sneezes, the rest of the world catches a cold.” The Chinese economy is apparently suffering from long Covid and despite the intention to release it from the grip of lockdown in the wake of protests, fears that China’s sluggish growth will impact the global economy’s performance in 2023 still prevail. Yet it is the Federal Reserve, and its view of the US economy that still has the major impact on global markets and the confidence of investors. So, does this mean that the mantra still holds? Read more here
Nuclear Options...
When America Sneezes
When America Sneezes
At the start of the Russia-Ukraine crisis, President Putin put Russia's nuclear forces on high alert. This did two things: it made NATO and its allies aware, if they were not before, that Russia would take a "hair trigger" approach to nuclear deterrence - a nuclear response would be justified if there is a non-nuclear or even a non-milita
At the start of the Russia-Ukraine crisis, President Putin put Russia's nuclear forces on high alert. This did two things: it made NATO and its allies aware, if they were not before, that Russia would take a "hair trigger" approach to nuclear deterrence - a nuclear response would be justified if there is a non-nuclear or even a non-military attack on Russian interests.
The second thing was to bring trade, trade finance and economics directly into modern conflict as a domain of warfare. Read more...
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The Thinking Leader
When America Sneezes
The Thinking Leader
Trade Weaponisation has placed businesses into a difficult position for which they must plan strategically. Because economics, business and trade have been weaponised, and are now an explicit tool of national security strategy, those businesses who trade or finance trade are effectively the boots on the ground.
This requires strategic thin
Trade Weaponisation has placed businesses into a difficult position for which they must plan strategically. Because economics, business and trade have been weaponised, and are now an explicit tool of national security strategy, those businesses who trade or finance trade are effectively the boots on the ground.
This requires strategic thinking to be able to adjust rapidly, indeed to be "war-gamed" in order that it stays agile. Read more...